A Hybrid Short-Term Load Forecasting Model Based on a Multi-Trait-Driven Methodology and Secondary Decomposition

نویسندگان

چکیده

To improve the prediction accuracy of short-term load series, this paper proposes a hybrid model based on multi-trait-driven methodology and secondary decomposition. In detail, four steps were performed sequentially, i.e., data decomposition, individual prediction, ensemble output, all which designed methodology. particular, multi-period identification method judgment basis decomposition to assist construction model. numerical experiment, with 15 min intervals was collected as research object. By analyzing results multi-step-ahead forecasting Diebold–Mariano (DM) test, proposed proven outperform benchmark models, can be regarded an effective solution for forecasting.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Energies

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1996-1073']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/en15165875